Tropical UPDATE 9am Aug 20th - WTOC-TV: Savannah, Beaufort, SC, News, Weather & Sports

Tropical UPDATE 9am Aug 20th

Tropical Storm HARVEY headed for Belize.

 

Center at last report northwest of Roatan.

195 mi SE of Belize City.

Hunters are approaching right now.

 

Incredible rains and squally weather along the Honduran Coast as HARVEY goes by.

But the bigger story is some strengthening is expected before landfall this afternoon or tonight.

We could get our first hurricane of the seasons in Harvey, if only briefly.

 

Mexico has discontinued all watches and warnings, thinking HARVEY stays on his due west course moving inland.

There is a chance he pops out in the Gulf, but that's not likely.

NO WORRIES FOR GEORGIA.

 

 

Two waves in the Atlantic.

The one much farther away, near Africa will be a fish storm.

NO WORRIES FOR GEORGIA.

 

 

The closer of the two is a worry for Georgia.

HEADS UP ON THIS ONE.

 

What will be IRENE is about 400 mi east of the Lesser Antilles, moving west to NW @ 20 mph.

Pressures are dropping slowly but there is no closed circulation yet.

A tropical depression could form over the next couple of days, an 80% chance of a cyclone.

 

A consensus of the models is already developing.

Once it forms, it will strengthen quickly to a TS and Hurricane.

It will track along from Puerto Rico to Cuba and perhaps South Florida by Weds-Thurs of next week.

That track along the islands will keep it weaker initially, and landfall on either side of Florida would help us.

 

BUT the Atlantic high will stay strong for the next ten days.

Every global model suite holds that position.

The TEXAS high is the question mark, and there's a notion it will push farther west.

And a new CANADIAN trough looks to advance into the Great Lakes mid-week next week.

ALL THIS WILL STEER THIS STORM.

 

Our 5-day window may start on Wednesday, the 24th.

And I hope we have a more "solid" forecast by then.

SO HEADS UP.  We've got a couple of days.  Then…

 

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