Tropical Update: Invest 94-L has a high risk of tropical development

Tropical Update: Invest 94-L has a high risk of tropical development

Invest 94-L continues to track west-northwestward across the eastern Atlantic Ocean with sustained winds of 35 MPH.

An Invest is simply an area of shower and thunderstorm activity that the National Hurricane Center is investing data and personnel to forecast.

While still not, technically, tropical Wednesday morning, Invest 94-L has a 70-percent chance of being classified a tropical system within 48 hours, and an 80-percent chance within the next five days.

The latest data continues to show a gradual organization of this system as it moves west-northwest or northwest over the next several days. This would put whatever comes of Invest 94-L northeast of Puerto Rico this weekend, and south of Bermuda early next week.

From there, the system is likely to turn northward, heading out to sea by the middle portion of next week. However, forecast models continue to disagree on exactly how the upper atmosphere is configured over the Atlantic Ocean next week.

The setup in that part of the world will determine where Invest 94-L, or possibly Tropical Storm Don, goes. There is still no direct risk to the Coastal Empire or Lowcountry as of Wednesday morning's forecast.

We will, however, need to monitor this system's progress. Let it at least serve as a reminder that we are heading deeper into what may end up being an active hurricane season.

Stay with WTOC - your tropical weather authority - for forecasts you can count on.

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