Tropical Depression Four was classified, roughly 1,500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, Wednesday night at 11 p.m.
T.D. Four remains a bit disorganized this morning, but overall shower and thunderstorm activity is more numerous than previous mornings. This system remains very lop-sided, with much of the rain and breezy winds displaced west of the center of circulation.
This is happening due to two factors; dry air and some wind shear.
These two factors will continue to limit the organization and eventual intensification of this tropical system as it tracks northwestward, toward the west-central Atlantic Ocean.
On its present forecast from the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Depression Four is not expected to reach tropical storm status. However, conditions may become favorable enough for this system to organize and be named "Don" before reaching more unfavorable conditions north of Hispaniola early next week.
As of this forecast, no direct inland impacts our expected in our region. However, this system will be worth keeping an eye on. Swells and rip current risks may increase next week depending on the exact location and strength of what is now Tropical Depression Four.
We'll keep you updated. Stay with WTOC, your tropical weather authority, for coverage you can count on.