It's slow and almost painful to track, but at least "Harvey" gives the Texas coast time to prepare for what it may bring.
The preparations are underway for flooding rain and storm surge. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission found structural support, perhaps a closed circulation or eye forming. The development right now puts Harvey at tropical storm strength, Thursday afternoon.
As the storm continues to trudge towards Texas, Harvey will encounter a favorable environment for further strengthening over deep warm water in the western Gulf of Mexico. The new intensity forecast is adjusted slightly to show Harvey explicitly becoming a hurricane by Friday with some possible increased strength before making landfall. Warnings are likely to be issued sometime on Thursday.
Harvey is likely to bring multiple hazards, including heavy rainfall, storm surge, and possible hurricane conditions to portions of the Texas coast beginning on Friday. Heavy rainfall is likely to spread across portions of eastern Texas, Louisiana, and the lower Mississippi Valley from Friday through early next week, and could cause life-threatening flooding.
While all eyes are on Harvey, we must include Invest 92L over the Everglades of Florida, which will be a rain maker for the Sunshine State, but with our cold front pushing through and south of the viewing area, right now, the only risks Invest 92L hold for us are possible increased rip currents for the coming weekend of August 25-27.
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