SAVANNAH, Ga. (WTOC) - Hurricane Dorian as of the 11 p.m. Thursday advisory is now a category 2 hurricane with 105 mph winds. A general northwest track is likely through Friday and Dorian will gain strength now until landfall in a favorable environment.
The current hurricane outlook also has Dorian slowing down as it makes landfall, increasing chances of a prolonged rain event.
Meteorologist Jamie Ertle provides an 8 p.m. update in the video below:
*There remains a lot of uncertainty in the extended portion of the forecast*.
High pressure builds north of Dorian this weekend. High pressure will tend to cause a westward bend in Dorian’s track towards Florida, but after landfall the steering currents that would push Dorian away from initial landfall may become weak meaning Dorian lingers.
A landfall between south Florida and the Georgia coasts is still possible. Exact location of landfall is still ‘up in the air’; however the official track is favoring a Florida landfall between Cape Canaveral and Miami. Please be aware there is still room for this to shift northward.
What sort of impacts will the Coastal Empire, Lowcountry see?
A few options are still on the table. If Dorian makes landfall in south Florida and continues into the Gulf, we’ll see little to nothing. If it remains offshore by more than 100 miles, then we’ll also see little to nothing. But, if Dorian makes landfall anywhere between Palm Beach and Jacksonville and then turns northward along the coast or over the Florida Peninsula – various levels of severe weather would be possible locally. If impacts do occur – nasty weather will not arrive until Tuesday into Thursday.
What should you do right now?
Check the forecast at least twice a day; once in the morning and another time in the evening. Review your hurricane supply list and general safety plan. This advice would be given for any storm in the Atlantic that has the potential to impact our region.
What is new this evening?
Dorian is continuing to trend for a later landfall, now slowing down to Monday evening and perhaps more delays. Our confidence is high that tidal flooding is a threat through the weekend due to the moon phase and beyond the weekend a concern due to the northeastly fetch from Dorian. Rainfall could potentially be high, and if we are on the east side of the storm, we’ve bumped our severe weather threat to moderate at this time.