Tracking Dorian: Still forecast to pass to our east

Tracking Dorian: Still forecast to pass to our east

SAVANNAH, Ga. (WTOC) - Hurricane Dorian remains a Category 4 storm while continuing to strengthen with max sustained winds at 150 miles per hour near the center of circulation. Dorian will continue tracking west this weekend, possibly gaining Category 5 status.

Watch the 8 p.m. update with Meteorologist Jamie Ertle:

#WATCH: The Coastal Empire and Lowcountry could see the impacts of Hurricane Dorian by this Wednesday. Join WTOC Jamie Ertle for the latest on Dorian's forecast.

Posted by WTOC-TV on Saturday, August 31, 2019

The biggest update is a shift in east in models and the forecast track. This means that a landfall in Florida or Georgia is less likely but not impossible. On the other hand, this means that Dorian will remain over water, holding on to Major Category 3 status on Wednesday morning offshore of Florida and Category 2 status passing Georgia.

Dorian will likely parallel the Georgia coast on Wednesday, when we will feel our highest impacts. Tropical Storm force wind gusts (+39 mph) are possible beginning Wednesday morning especially along the coast where we will see increased wave heights of 4 to 6 feet, beach erosion and the possibility of isolated a foot or two of storm surge.

Inland areas will receive the smallest impact, with the most noticeable change being the wind direction, but rainfall accumulations will be low.

If the center of circulation remains further east in the Atlantic, this will lessen our impacts. In fact, rain chances are trending down, with maximum amounts now near 5 inches, but right along the coast. This is a small hurricane, by hurricane standards, with the highest accumulations closer to the coastline.

Please note, a minor delay in Dorian shifting north this weekend, even by a few hours, could greatly change the impacts we will feel late Tuesday through Thursday. We encourage you to check in on the forecast a couple times a day. We will have live updates on Facebook. Next update is 11 p.m.

*There remains a lot of uncertainty in the extended portion of the forecast*.

What should you do right now?

Check the forecast at least twice a day; once in the morning and another time in the evening. Review your hurricane supply list and general safety plan. Power outages are possible later this week, along with the risk of severe weather. Make sure that you and your home are ready to be without power, just in case. This advice would be given for any storm in the Atlantic that has the potential to impact our region.

You can catch updates on TV, at wtoc.com and in the WTOC Weather App.

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