A victory by the Detroit Lions over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model projection for these teams' upcoming matchup, on Sunday, September 24 at 1:00 PM ET (at Ford Field). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

The Lions owned the fourth-best offense last season in terms of total yards (380 yards per game), but they ranked worst on defense (392.4 yards allowed per game). From an offensive standpoint, the Falcons ranked 15th in the NFL with 21.5 points per game last season. Meanwhile, they ranked 23rd in points allowed (362.1 points allowed per contest).

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Falcons vs. Lions Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Falcons (+3) Toss Up (47) Lions 25, Falcons 24

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Falcons, based on the moneyline, is 40.8%.
  • Atlanta went 9-7-0 ATS last season.
  • The Falcons covered the spread five times last season (5-3 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • Atlanta and its opponent combined to hit the over seven out of 17 times last year.
  • Games involving the Falcons last year averaged 43.7 points per game, a 3.3-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Lions Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Lions have an implied win probability of 63.6%.
  • Detroit went 10-5-0 ATS last season.
  • The Lions were favored by 3 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
  • A total of 10 Detroit games last season hit the over.
  • The point total average for Lions games last season was 49, two more points than the over/under for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Lions 2022 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Detroit 26.6 25.1 33.1 25.3 19.4 24.9
Atlanta 21.5 22.7 24.9 21.6 17.6 24

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